Bosnia Herzegovina
How does Bosnia Herzegovina’s trade profile look? Level of exports and imports over thirty years, structural composition, partner concentration, and the position on the economic-complexity frontier.
- Footwear: parts, outer soles and heels, of rubber or plastics (640620): imports 73% from European Union (EU27).
Ranked by import dependency (GeoDep 2022). Single-supplier concentration is the exposure. - Data processing machines: portable, digital and automatic, weighing not more than 10kg, consisting of at least a central processing unit, a keyboard and a display (847130): imports 79% from China.
Ranked by import dependency (GeoDep 2022). Single-supplier concentration is the exposure.
Model a supply shock → - Wood: coniferous species, of fir (Abies spp.) and spruce (Picea spp.), in the rough, whether or not stripped of bark or sapwood, or roughly squared, untreated, of which any cross-sectional dimension is less than 15 cm (440324): imports 100% from European Union (EU27).
Ranked by import dependency (GeoDep 2022). Single-supplier concentration is the exposure. - Medicaments: containing insulin (but not containing antibiotics), for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale (300431): imports 99% from European Union (EU27).
Ranked by import dependency (GeoDep 2022). Single-supplier concentration is the exposure. - Vaccines: for human medicine (300220): imports 71% from European Union (EU27).
Ranked by import dependency (GeoDep 2022). Single-supplier concentration is the exposure.
- Electrical resistors: fixed, for a power handling capacity exceeding 20W (including rheostats and potentiometers but excluding heating resistors and carbon resistors) (853329): proximity 0.20 to current capabilities, complexity PCI +3.63, world market $1.3bn.
Ranked by density × complexity (product space 2024).
See product → - Furnaces: parts of furnace burners, for liquid fuel, pulverized solid fuel or gas, mechanical stokers, grates, ash dischargers and the like (841690): proximity 0.24 to current capabilities, complexity PCI +2.87, world market $1.1bn.
Ranked by density × complexity (product space 2024).
See product → - Machinery: parts of that machinery for agricultural, horticultural or forestry use n.e.s. in heading no. 8436 (843699): proximity 0.27 to current capabilities, complexity PCI +2.63, world market $1.8bn.
Ranked by density × complexity (product space 2024).
See product → - Tools, interchangeable: (for machine or hand tools, whether or not power-operated), for screw-driving or uses n.e.s. in heading no. 8207 (820790): proximity 0.23 to current capabilities, complexity PCI +2.95, world market $3.5bn.
Ranked by density × complexity (product space 2024).
See product → - Spectrometers, spectrophotometers and spectrographs: using optical radiations (UV, visible, IR) (902730): proximity 0.20 to current capabilities, complexity PCI +3.37, world market $4.2bn.
Ranked by density × complexity (product space 2024).
See product →
Bosnia Herzegovina: merchandise exports and imports, 1995-2024
/macro/BIH page.Trade balance, 1995-2024
Export composition
The structural change in what a country exports, from agriculture to manufactures to services, or between HS sections, is one of the most studied transitions in development economics (Imbs & Wacziarg 2003; Hausmann, Hwang & Rodrik 2007). The chart below shows the five largest HS sections of Bosnia Herzegovina’s exports in 2024, plotted back thirty years.
Top-5 HS sections of exports, 1995-2024
Export basket by HS chapter, 2024 · top-30 $8.6B of $9.4B total
Import basket by HS chapter, 2024 · top-30 $13.4B of $16.4B total
Who it sells to
World map of export destinations, 2024
Top 12 export destinations, 2024
Economic complexity
The Economic Complexity Index (ECI), building on Hidalgo & Hausmann (2009, PNAS) and formalized as the eigenvalue (second-eigenvector) index in the Atlas of Economic Complexity, ranks countries by the productive knowledge embedded in their export basket. Countries that export many products, and whose products are also exported by few others, score high. ECI is predictive of subsequent income growth and structural transformation; see Hausmann et al. (2014, The Atlas of Economic Complexity, MIT Press) for the full methodology and the comparative country atlas. For a non-linear alternative that ranks fast-diversifying economies differently (China, for instance, sits far higher on fitness than on ECI), compare the Economic Fitness metric of Tacchella et al. (2012).
Bosnia Herzegovina: ECI trajectory, 1995-2024
Export concentration (HHI) and product count, 1995-2024
Effective number of exported products (1/HHI)
Niche leadership
Revealed comparative advantage (Balassa 1965) says a country is specialised in a product when its share of that product’s world exports exceeds the country’s share of all world exports. A stronger version asks: which HS6 lines does the country lead the world in? The table below lists the ten largest export lines (by value) where Bosnia Herzegovina ranks in the world top-5 in 2024, restricted to products with at least US$10M of global trade so tiny niches don’t crowd out economically meaningful positions. This is the “niche leadership” view: products the country is not just diversified in, but competitive at the frontier.
Bosnia Herzegovina: top 10 HS6 lines with world top-5 rank, 2024
Peer countries by structural profile
Which economies share the closest structural profile to Bosnia Herzegovina? Each country is placed in a three-dimensional space of economic complexity (ECI), log GDP per capita, and log total exports, each standardised to zero mean and unit variance in 2024. The five nearest neighbours by Euclidean distance in that space are Bosnia Herzegovina’s closest structural peers, similar on productive-capability, income level, and scale of external trade. This is a trade-specific adaptation of the synthetic-control “donor pool” logic (Abadie, Diamond & Hainmueller 2010).
Bosnia Herzegovina: five closest structural peers, 2024
Margins of export growth
Hummels & Klenow (2005, “The variety and quality of a nation’s exports,” American Economic Review95(3): 704-723) introduced the split of a country’s exports into an extensive margin (the set of goods it ships) and an intensive margin (how much of each). In their own measure the extensive margin is nota raw line count: following Feenstra (1994), each category is weighted by its importance in world trade. The figure below applies a simplified, count-based version of that distinction to one country’s export growth over time, so the levels are a proxy, not the Feenstra-weighted index. The two margins still respond to different levers: trade-cost reductions and discovery push the extensive margin (Melitz 2003), while productivity and demand push the intensive.
Margins of export growth, 2014-2024
Export basket on the complexity frontier
Bosnia Herzegovina: export value vs. product complexity (PCI), 2024
Related
- Value-chain position, domestic vs foreign value added in Bosnia Herzegovina’s exports, VAX ratio, and upstream/downstream index (OECD TiVA)
- Economic Fitness, the non-linear Tacchella-Pietronero complexity ranking, and how it diverges from ECI
- Research index, analytical pieces grounded in BACI flows and gravity covariates
- Sector monitor, quarterly deep dives on 12 HS-defined sectors
- Compare Bosnia Herzegovina against peer economies
- Exporter profile, basket composition, RCA, and partners