Trade-economics workbench
50+ analytical pages on complexity, gravity, tariffs, supply chains, sanctions and sectoral structure. Plus 20 research notes, 10 paper replications, and 7 consulting offerings. Every figure traces to a primary parquet source.
Causal and policy shocks
Event studies and tariff pass-through on BACI 1995-2024.
- China shock· Autor-Dorn-Hanson labor-market exposure
- US-China trade war· Section 301 pass-through
- CBAM· Carbon border adjustment exposure
- Sanctions· OFAC / EU regime exposure by country
- Friendshoring· Bloc realignment of supply
- Industrial policy· Subsidy intensity vs trade outcomes
- Tariff landscape· MFN trends, preferential margins
- Tariff scenarios· Counterfactual MFN shifts
- Tariff lab· Interactive PE simulator
Global structure
Cross-country patterns in production, complexity, and competition.
- World trade· Level, composition, globalization
- Complexity· ECI / PCI, Hausmann-Hidalgo
- Trade network· Centrality and communities
- Growth· Trade-growth linkages, structural change
- Non-tariff measures· UNCTAD MAST, SPS / TBT intensity
- Regional trade agreements· Bloc effects on bilateral trade
- Services· Modes 1-4, intermediates
- Services gap· Manufacturing-services dependence
- Quality· Schott unit-value dispersion
- FX elasticity· Exports vs REER
Supply chain and risk
Single-source dependence, chokepoints, and political exposure.
- Supply chain· Concentration and vulnerability
- Chokepoints· Suez, Hormuz, Malacca, Panama
- Critical inputs· Single-source intermediates
- Critical minerals· Rare earths, lithium, cobalt
- Political risk· WGI governance vs trade share
- Corruption lens· CPI overlay on trade flows
- Country scorecard· Composite trade health
- Stranded assets· Commodity transition risk
- Food security· SSR, import dependence
- Input costs· Energy, materials, freight
- Trade finance· L/Cs, working capital gap
- Cross-border M&A· FDI flows, deal heat
Sectoral and regional
Sector-level and sub-national geography of trade.
- Sectors· 21 HS sections, comparative views
- EU regions· NUTS2 economic geography
- US states· State-level export composition
- GVCs· Backward / forward participation
- Concentration· Partner and product HHI
- Adjacent products· Proximity-based diversification
- HS to sector· Crosswalks and aggregation
- Market entry· New-product, new-market dynamics
Long-form work
Curated essays, replications, and consulting offerings.
- Research notes· 20 short papers on active questions
- Replications· 10 canonical papers re-estimated
- Consulting· 7 advisory offerings
- Quarterly monitor· Sector briefings
Tools and reference
Query engines, methodology, and data catalogue.
- SQL console· Read-only DuckDB over the parquet
- Natural-language console· Question to SQL to result
- Search· Countries, products, sectors
- Methodology· Estimators, units, vintages
- Data catalogue· Parquet tables and primary sources
- Principal· Author and engagements