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Model registry
These cards document each model-backed surface and its operational endpoints. See the methodology catalogue for the broader formula and bibliography reference.
A z-scored ranking of 226 exporting economies (2024) by the diversity and exclusivity of their export basket, and a companion complexity score for 6,266 HS6 product codes.
For each country-product-year, the country's share of world exports of a product divided by its share of world exports overall. A value of 1 is the world average.
The probability-based relatedness between every pair of HS6 products, and a country's density around products it does not yet export competitively.
The probability that a country enters an HS6 product within five years, conditional on the product's density around its existing export basket, plus directed HS4 feeder-to-target conversion rates.
Predicted bilateral trade from economic size and distance, and the residual by which an observed corridor over- or under-trades relative to that prediction.
The signed HS6 substitution elasticity for a product, with a magnitude-based interpretation of how readily import demand responds to price changes.
Critical import dependencies, dominant suppliers and the products and importing economies over which a supplier holds market power.
The deviation of daily vessel transits from a trailing baseline at seven maritime chokepoints, and the bilateral trade exposed when a stressed chokepoint lies on a modeled sea route.